BTC81,620+0.57%ETH2,471-1.61%NEAR4.27+2.52%SOXL111.97-9.01%NVDA228.87+0.66%QQQ744.50+0.46%TQQQ72.25-1.43%COIN195.11-2.06%SPY771.35+0.54%SMH606.56+1.01%GE319.22+0.07%AAPL339.75+0.23%IREN35.45-12.53%MSTR158.61-1.86%TSLA348.40-1.81%
BTC81,620+0.57%ETH2,471-1.61%NEAR4.27+2.52%SOXL111.97-9.01%NVDA228.87+0.66%QQQ744.50+0.46%TQQQ72.25-1.43%COIN195.11-2.06%SPY771.35+0.54%SMH606.56+1.01%GE319.22+0.07%AAPL339.75+0.23%IREN35.45-12.53%MSTR158.61-1.86%TSLA348.40-1.81%
BTC81,620+0.57%ETH2,471-1.61%NEAR4.27+2.52%SOXL111.97-9.01%NVDA228.87+0.66%QQQ744.50+0.46%TQQQ72.25-1.43%COIN195.11-2.06%SPY771.35+0.54%SMH606.56+1.01%GE319.22+0.07%AAPL339.75+0.23%IREN35.45-12.53%MSTR158.61-1.86%TSLA348.40-1.81%

Delayed data · positions and candles older than 48h · subscribers see live levels

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Watchlist — delayed 48h

as of Sep 25, 10:58 PM

Every asset where a Deltalyn strategy currently holds a long or short — not just the desk trio. Tap a row for the chart with entry, stop and target drawn on price.

The expert desk

Machines find the setup. The desk decides whether it deserves your capital.

A single model that says “buy” tells you nothing about why, or about what would make it wrong. So Deltalyn runs the decision the way a fund runs it: the quantitative layer votes first, an expert committee interprets those votes seat by seat, and a risk officer with veto power gets the last word before anything is published.

Macro strategist25%

Regime & Macro

Decides whether the sleeve is even tradeable today. No seat may vote LONG in a sleeve this seat has marked risk-off.

HMM regime (Baum-Welch)SPY / SMH / BTC vs SMA200Realised vs implied volRates & DXY trend
Technical analyst25%

Trend & Structure

Locates the entry: breakout, pullback or reversal, and where the structure is invalidated. Owns the stop level.

Donchian 20 / 55EMA20 · EMA50 · SMA200ATR(14)Relative volume
Flow analyst15%

Flow & Derivatives

Confirms or contradicts the chart with positioning. A breakout with no flow behind it is downgraded, never upgraded.

Options flow (calls/puts $)IV rank & skewUnusual volumeShort interest
Digital assets analyst15%

Crypto & On-chain

Votes on crypto and crypto-adjacent equity only (COIN, MSTR, CRCL, IREN). Abstains on everything else.

CryptoQuant exchange flowsFunding rate & OIETH/BTC ratioStablecoin supply
Quant researcher20%

Statistical Evidence

Answers one question only: over 10 years of daily data, what did this exact setup on this exact symbol actually pay? Reports the pessimistic end of the Wilson interval, never the headline number.

Hit rate + 95% Wilson CIExpectancy in RMedian holding timeGrade A/B/C/D
Chief risk officerveto

Risk Gate

Holds a hard veto. Sizes the position from the distance to the stop, and blocks anything that breaks correlation, heat or drawdown limits — the block is published, never hidden.

ATR position sizingCorrelation clustersPortfolio heat (R)Monthly drawdown circuit breaker
The Board

One asset, both layers, and the ticket that came out.

Every asset where a Deltalyn strategy holds a Long right now comes first, with its real entry, stop and target drawn on the chart. The sample symbols keep the full committee format the desk publishes while the system runs in paper mode — they are labelled as samples, they are not live quotes and none of this is advice.

Sample format · paper modeLive position · engine levels
Live position · Signal ledger · open record
BTC · Donchian Breakout · 4-hour
LONGas of Sep 25

Donchian 20 upper/lower · what the engine reads (engine runs on 4h; daily view)

Real daily closes up to 2026-09-21 with the position's actual entry, stop and target drawn on price. Levels are the engine's published plan, never an executed order and not advice.

What the engine publishes

This Long comes straight from the quantitative layer. The full seat-by-seat committee deliberation is only published for tickets the desk has run through the committee — nothing here is invented to fill the format.

Strategy
Donchian Breakout (crypto_donchian)
Timeframe
4-hour
Source
Signal ledger · open record
Asset class
crypto
Position as of
Sep 25, 2026, 1:51 PM

Señal registrada en el ledger el 2026-09-25; sigue abierta.

Engine levels · delayed 48hLONG
Side
Long
Entry
83,788.37
Stop
81,629.94
Target
87,271.74
Risk : reward
1.61 : 1 to first target
Opportunity scanner · every covered asset

What the engines read on every asset they cover — including the ones with no trade.

The former Opportunities page lives here now: crypto, stocks and leveraged ETFs, each scenario attributed to its engine with the honest state — watching, standing aside, or window closed.

Scanner readings are live signals, so they are published to subscribers only. The Board above — positions, charts and evidence — stays free with delayed data.

Start free 30-day trial →
Track record check · evidence per setup

Ten years of history, graded from the pessimistic end.

This is the panel the statistical seat reads before it votes. Pick a symbol and a setup: the chart marks every historical trigger with how it ended and reports the hit rate with its confidence interval — not a single flattering number.

My portfolio
Popular
swing · 1–4 weeks

Every marker is a real historical trigger, simulated with a 2×ATR stop, a 2R target and a 40-session cap — stop assumed first when a bar touches both. The grade comes from the pessimistic end of the 95% Wilson interval, so a setup that only looks good because the sample is small is graded D and does not show up as an edge.

How the vote is computed

A consensus number you can recompute by hand.

Full methodology →
  1. Weighted average

    Each voting seat contributes conviction × weight. Macro and structure carry 25% each, statistical evidence 20%, flow and crypto 15%. Abstentions are removed and the remaining weights are renormalised — an abstaining seat never dilutes the vote.

  2. Regime lock

    If the macro seat marks the sleeve risk-off, no seat may vote LONG in that sleeve. The regime filter is per sleeve — crypto, semis, Nasdaq — never one global switch.

  3. Publication threshold

    A ticket is only published as LONG above 60/100. Between 40 and 60 the desk publishes WAIT with the trigger it is waiting for. Below 40 it publishes AVOID and says why.

  4. Risk veto

    The risk officer has no vote weight and absolute authority. Correlation cluster, portfolio heat, drawdown circuit breaker or a failed price sanity check each block the ticket outright — and the block is published alongside the tickets that passed.